![]() The probability of getting one with less than 5 negative nodes is 5.92%, or one every 16.9 stones. The probability of getting a 7/7 stone equivalent or better is 6.19%, taking an average of 16.15 stones. Note that this setup doesn't care which row is which, meaning that if you're aiming for a 9/7 with a specific 7 to be the 2 in a 5x3+2 setup you'll have to modify the code, since I'm too lazy to account for that scenario that only matters to 0.001% of players. The files without "w" on the end represent raw probabilities but will treat an 9/7/0 and 7/7/5 equally which can lead to confusing suggestions (basically, once your 7/7 or 9/7 is guarenteed it doesn't care what you hit so will just recommend you hit in order of 1->2->3, so adding slight incentives to better stones is recommended). You can use 7_7_4_w.json or 9_7_4_w.json if you already have a stone of that tier with 5 negative nodes and want one without. Recommended usage is to load either 7_7_w.json or 9_7_w.json, depending on your target. If you don't care about that and just want to know what nodes to hit, download this file and open the html document: And I have done just that, with code here: Hence, the appropriate strategy is have a reward policy of acceptable stones (7/7+ or 9/7+ depending on your target) and work backwards from that to deterministically calculate an exact probability for each state, as well as the best possible action. Also, anything worse than your current stone is worthless, so you should aim solely for 7/7 or 9/7, and try to maximize that chance regardless of the "average" outcome if you already have a 6/7 getting another 6/7 is the same as getting a 0/0, might as well aim for that 9/5. They also don't consider breakpoints and try to "maximize", meaning you might as well just hit blue on 55%+ and red on 45% and below, because avoiding an 8 roll is pretty important any calculator that doesn't actively do that is very ineffective. First of all, they only aim for getting a certain number of nodes in a line, which doesn't really make sense a 9/5 is just as good as a 7/7, while an 8/6 is much worse. There are a lot of stone calculators out there, but most of them are just not very good. ![]()
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